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Turkey and Russia's Partnership Unravels Amid Ukraine Conflict

Turkey and Russia's Partnership Unravels Amid Ukraine Conflict

First seen 8 Jun 2026, 14:24 UTC

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ThreatCluster AI
ThreatCluster June 9, 2026 at 13:55 UTC
  • Turkey is increasingly supporting Ukraine, challenging Russian influence in the region.
  • The partnership between Turkey and Russia, once mutually beneficial, is now in decline.
  • Erdogan's refusal to impose sanctions on Russia has allowed Turkey to gain leverage.

The partnership between Turkey and Russia, formed during the Syrian war, is deteriorating as Turkey supports Ukraine against Russian influence. Historically, both nations accommodated each other's interests in Syria, but the war in Ukraine has shifted the balance. Following the ousting of Bashar al-Assad in late 2024, Turkey has emerged as a dominant player in the region, while Russia struggles to maintain its influence. Erdogan's refusal to join Western sanctions against Russia has allowed Turkey to become a hub for Russian trade and energy. However, the changing dynamics have left Russia negotiating with a Syrian government it previously bombed, further complicating its position. This shift marks a significant change in regional power relations.

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Timeline

2016-01-01
Turkey launches incursion into northern Syria
Turkey's military action was facilitated by Russian control of Syrian airspace, reflecting their cooperative arrangement.
Nytimes
2024-12-01
Bashar al-Assad ousted
The removal of Assad marked a turning point, as Russia failed to support him, leading to Turkey's increased dominance.
Nytimes
2026-06-07
Erdogan's shift in foreign policy
Turkey's support for Ukraine signifies a major shift in its foreign policy, moving away from reliance on Russia.
Nytimes

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